We often focus on a problem by using information that is close at hand. We make predictions based on our narrow and unique set of inputs. The more closely we know about a problem, the more intuitively we come to conclusions. The more detailed a plan we make, the more confident we become. In other words, we develop an inside view.
Good advice for making plans, building businesses, raising children...... Now I am thinking about how my biased thinking is affecting all my decisions. This time it’ll be different because I’m special and soooo informed. Darnedest things have happened to my best laid plans.